What Comes Next? The Business Analysis of ‘No-Deal’

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has examined the ‘no-deal’ preparations made by the UK government, the European Commission, Member States and companies in 27 areas of the UK-EU relationship that are most important to business.

They recently published a report on ‘no-deal’ readiness, including the table below (pages 9-10). Please click on the table to get to the original report for further reading.


This update is for general guidance only. Specific legal advice should be obtained in all cases. This material is the copyright of Goodwille Limited (unless otherwise stipulated) and is not to be reproduced in whole or in part without prior written consent.

How Could A ‘No-Deal Brexit’ Affect Goodwille’s Clients and Our Services?

It is impossible to go into every detail on how a ‘no-deal Brexit’ would affect Goodwille’s clients and our services, but one can start by categorising the possibilities in the sections below.

For clients based in one of the remaining Member States, the consequences of a ‘no-deal Brexit’ broadly fit into two categories. Firstly, the human aspect as there will be new rules to bring staff into the UK post Brexit. Secondly, the import/export side, affecting those with physical products or businesses operating in regulated markets. The latter will likely be hit the hardest with an increasing amount of paperwork and new systems related to importing goods from EU Member States to the UK (and, to a lesser extent, exporting from the UK to the remaining EU).

As we approach the 31st October deadline, companies that move goods into or out of the EU are once again facing the prospect of stockpiling. If not already done, it is important to check with delivery partners to ensure they are ready in the event of a ‘no-deal’. For goods trading companies, Goodwille has previously encouraged these clients to apply for a UK EORI number (please contact us if you require more details).

Companies in the service industry will likely only have to deal with changes to VAT reporting. This should be covered easily within the remit that Goodwille has with clients using Goodwille’s finance services.

Most impacted will be subsidiaries of EU companies in the UK. These are likely to face the biggest hurdle related to ‘no-deal’ planning. Nonetheless, companies from outside the EU may find the so-called “no-deal exit” less problematic, unless they use the UK to as a gateway to the EU market.

To ensure a continued presence within the EU after Brexit, Goodwille has been developing its network and we have secured partners in Ireland. We have established contacts with import specialists to make use of the TSP (Transitional Simplified Procedures). For clients wishing to bring staff into the UK, we have partnered with North Star Law to ensure expert immigration advisory services aiding with supported VISA applications to enter the UK. We have also partnered with relocation services businesses, which can be essential when it comes to moving a family to the UK smoothly.

Goodwille are currently supporting in the region of 400 subsidiary businesses in the UK, and the vast majority of these are headquartered in Northern & Central Europe.  Over the coming weeks (and months), as more information is released and it becomes clearer on the impact Brexit will have on foreign businesses ability to trade with the United Kingdom, then Goodwille will proactively keep our clients updated – you are in safe hands.


This update is for general guidance only. Specific legal advice should be obtained in all cases. This material is the copyright of Goodwille Limited (unless otherwise stipulated) and is not to be reproduced in whole or in part without prior written consent.

Boris Johnson on Brexit – One Week In

Delivering Brexit is the number one priority for Boris Johnson. He has repeatedly pledged that a ‘no-deal’ exit would be preferable to another extension. During his first speech as Prime Minister, he stated: ‘We are going to fulfil the repeated promises of parliament to the people and come out of the EU on 31st October, no ifs or buts’.

When his predecessor Theresa May was in office, a Withdrawal Agreement (WA) between the UK and the EU that would settle how the British would leave the Union was drafted and negotiated. The WA is close to 600 pages long. Some key points include:

  • A transition period of 21 months – in which the UK must abide by all EU rules;
  • A financial settlement, the so called “divorce bill” – to be paid by the UK to the EU;
  • Citizens’ rights – UK citizens in the EU-, and EU citizens in the UK will retain their residency and social rights after Brexit;
  • Northern Ireland/the backstop – an insurance policy designed to avoid a hard border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland.

To date, the WA has been rejected three times by the British Parliament. The issue regarding the Irish backstop was one major reason why Theresa May could not get the agreement through Parliament. Although the EU consistently has said it is unwilling to renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement, Boris Johnson is confident that a better deal, one that the British Parliament will adopt, can be negotiated. He has for example stated that he believes the issue of the Irish border will be better dealt with after the UK has left the EU.

However, even if the EU were willing to consider the changes requested by the new PM, there is little time left. With less than 100 days left until 31st October 2019, the prospect of a no-deal exit is rising.


This update is for general guidance only. Specific legal advice should be obtained in all cases. This material is the copyright of Goodwille Limited (unless otherwise stipulated) and is not to be reproduced in whole or in part without prior written consent.

Brexit Timeline of Events

23rd June 2016
The United Kingdom European Union membership referendum took place, commonly known as the Brexit referendum. It resulted in 51.9 per cent of votes being in favour of leaving.

29th March 2017
The then Prime Minister Theresa May triggered Article 50 of the Treaty on the European Union, which began the UK’s withdrawal.

29th March 2019
The UK was originally due to leave the EU. The process was delayed as the Withdrawal Agreement drafted and negotiated by the then Prime Minister Theresa May was not approved in the British Parliament.

7th June 2019
Theresa May announced she will resign as Prime Minister.

23rd July 2019
Boris Johnson is elected new leader of the Conservative party.

24th July 2019
Boris Johnson becomes the UK’s new Prime Minister.

3rd September 2019
Parliament returns from recess. The new session will commence in which the Prime Minister will have to battle the pro-EU Members of Parliament as his intention is to leave the EU on 31st October 2019.

29th September – 2nd October 2019
Conservative party conference. The first official outing for Boris Johnson as Prime Minister, where he will set the course for his premiership. His first conference speech is likely to carry even more significance as Brexit day (31st October 2019) will barely be a month away.

17th – 18th October 2019
EU Summit. The last scheduled EU summit before the UK is set to exit the EU.

31st October 2019
Brexit day. The UK is set to leave the EU on this date, be it with or without a deal. EU leaders have stated that the UK will have to choose to either carry through with a no-deal Brexit, ratify the Withdrawal Agreement or cancel its departure entirely. The EU is not willing to discuss renegotiations and considering Boris Johnson’s stance of Brexit, a no-deal scenario is thus increasingly likely.

31st December 2020
End of transition period. Even with the UK’s departure from the EU having been delayed, the date for the end of the transition remains unchanged. This means that instead of being a 21-month transition from 31st March 2019 when the UK originally was to complete its exit, it will now be a 14-month transition from 31st October 2019.

31st December 2022
The backstop commences. According to the provisional withdrawal treaty, if ‘no-deal’ to avoid a hard border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland is in place by this point, the backstop will automatically come into effect. This means that the UK will remain in a temporary customs union with the EU.


This update is for general guidance only. Specific legal advice should be obtained in all cases. This material is the copyright of Goodwille Limited (unless otherwise stipulated) and is not to be reproduced in whole or in part without prior written consent.

About Boris Johnson

On Tuesday 23rd July 2019, Boris Johnson was elected new leader of the Conservative party in the United Kingdom. The following day, he became the 14th person invited by Queen Elizabeth II to form a government. Johnson is thus the third British Prime Minister since the Brexit referendum that took place in June 2016.

Following the change of Tory PM, there has been a reshuffle of government. Johnson has described the new cabinet as a “cabinet for modern Britain”. It includes Dominic Raab, who is the new Foreign Secretary and First Secretary of State. Priti Patel has replaced Sajid Javid as Home Secretary, who in turn is the new Chancellor. Stephen Barclay remains Brexit Secretary.

Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson was born to British parents in 1964 in New York. His father is a former British Conservative Member of the European Parliament. Johnson therefore spent a couple of years of his childhood in Belgium. He was educated at Eton College and at the University of Oxford.

Prior to the referendum, Boris Johnson was one of the front figures of the Leave campaign who is believed to have contributed to the UK’s decisions to leave.

After Theresa May became Prime Minister in July 2016, she appointed Johnson Foreign Secretary. He resigned two years later. Between 2008 and 2016, Boris Johnson was Mayor of London. Prior to becoming a Member of Parliament, he worked as a political journalist for newspapers such as The Times, The Daily Telegraph and The Spectator.


This update is for general guidance only. Specific legal advice should be obtained in all cases. This material is the copyright of Goodwille Limited (unless otherwise stipulated) and is not to be reproduced in whole or in part without prior written consent.